Structuring problems: Consultants use buckets

bucketConsultants use buckets.  I know it sounds pedestrian and unsophisticated, but it’s harder than it looks.   When you are trying to crack a complex problem, inevitably you will start to group things.  Buckets, I tell you.  Buckets.

Structuring problems forces you to organize your thoughts, and reflect on what your key messages will be.  It is the first step in turning data into insights. A few examples:

1) Bucketing by Time: Here I was explaining to the client what activities were coming in the different phases of a project.  During a long project, showing this graphic repeatedly helps to level-set the client.  Keeps them grounded and in the present – less focused on the past, or the future.

Bucketing by time2) Bucketing by Function: When you do enterprise-size work, inevitably your work will cut across different parts of the organization.  Pretty typical for a process flow chart to show “swim lanes” which buckets activities by group.  In the example, engineering does steps 1 & 4, while marketing does steps 2 & 5 etc.  It’s funny and sad how surprised people are about the way work is done in their own departments.

Process Flow Chart Example

3) Bucketing by Root Cause: This is the “bread and butter” work of a consultant.  After weeks of interviews, data analysis, and observations, you might have 25-30 different potential root causes of a problem.  To really move the analysis and thinking forward, you have to group the stuff into logical buckets.  In the fish-bone diagram below, you can see that all the resource-related items are grouped for easier understanding.

Fishbone diagramSuper bucket example: Deloitte has something called the Deloitte Enterprise Value Map.  You have to see it to believe it (pdf 354K), but it categorizes the buckets that make up shareholder value.  It is like a fish-bone diagram, but it has about 1,000 branches.   I have seen one of these, and it usually takes up 1/2 of a wall of a typical office.  In the small portion I show below, Revenue has two parts.  Volume has 3 parts.  Acquire new customers has 43 parts.  Lots of buckets.

Enterprise Value Map - Revenue

Related posts:

Bad data: 9 reasons clients often have data problems

No consulting project has perfect data.  In fact, it is usually a little bit like an Easter egg hunt where the team has a good idea where the data eggs might be, but can’t be 100% sure until they really start looking for it.

Most companies have trouble with their data.  While there is a lot of talk of BIG DATA and the revolution it will have in predictive analytics, in reality, many organizations have trouble patching together their SMALL DATA.  I would guess that only 1/3 of companies can can satisfy the consulting team’s data request.

Oddly, lack of data = consulting project.  For a bit of circular logic. . . it is often because the data is difficult to find, that the client has not really solved the problem yet.  As Seth Godin remarked in a blog post about “perfect problems”:

The only problems you have left are the perfect ones. The imperfect ones, the ones with a clearly evident solution, well, if they were important, you’ve solved them already

So, as odd as it sounds. . . consultants need to be thankful that the client’s data is usually a mess.  It means more work, projects, billing and money.

Data collection is often painfully slow.  Even when the location of the data is clear, it is common for the team to spend several days hunting down the right people to get the data.  Consultants often go to the client site just to request (read: pester, nag) the client to give them the data.  Clients could save themselves 5-10% of fees if they would just get the data to the consultants quicker.

Bad Data - Data is SomewhereGood data is hard to find.  In my experience, the larger, the more geographically dispersed, and the older the company = the messier the data.  Using the analogy of data flow like plumbing . . . the larger and older the house, the more it leaks.

Bad Data - 9 Reasons by Data is Bad#1-3. IT needs to update and standardize.  Too often IT only makes tactical repairs and spends their energy and budget just playing catch up.   Too often, clients customize the enterprise resource planning (e.g., SAP, Oracle) to match their process, instead of listening to the systems integrators and stick with best practices.  “Oh, we like to do it our way” is usually code words for messy data down the road.

#4. Sometimes legacy = bad.  Too often there is a resigned exhaustion of existing legacy processes.  “Yes, we do it on paper because we always did it that way.”   “No, I don’t have it written down because I remember it all.”  Those are all signs of trouble and poor planning. There is always someone – often with white hair and a beard – who knows how things really work. Talk about disaster planning: What happens if Al leaves?

#5-7. Time to clean the data.  The customer master (where you list all the key information of your clients) needs to be clean because it is used for billing, accounting, and other customer-relationship activities (e.g., sales calls, marketing direct mail).  Too often these are a bit of a mess.  For example, there will be 4 ways to spell Wal-mart, Wallmart, Walmart, Wall Mart.  With junky data, it is hard to analyze anything.

#8-9. Figure out the roles / responsibilities.  Who’s job is it anyways?  If it is everyone’s job, then in effect, it is no one’s job.  It’s not a good sign when veteran office workers who are uncomfortable using basic excel commands like sort and pivot.  While it seems basic, sometimes real-time analysis is just not valued enough to put into job descriptions and performance reviews.  Inevitably, it is the managers fault.

Data is not just lying around.  For those new to consulting, get ready to start digging for the data. Just some of the crazy examples from my past:

  • On my first consulting project, I spend several late nights alone typing shipping data from paper invoices into an excel spreadsheet
  • Just a few months ago, we consolidated data from 60+ separate emails into one excel.  How can you look at trend data when it is sitting in 60 daily reports?

Ask any analyst, and they will have their own hazing story of collecting data in some manual and crazy way.  As long as companies don’t take the time or the effort to do this, they will continue to pay $$$$ / hour for this mundane task to get done.

Data is a bit of a misnomer because it treats everything the same.  In my mind, there is a progression / hierarchy of the value of information which looks something like this.  It starts as noise, gets organized into data.  That data turns into information as it is structured, cleaned, rearranged, and sorted so it makes some sense.  Analysis takes shape as information is pivoted, correlated, appended, hypothesis-tested.  Insights are really gems and diamonds.  They are rare, valuable, and often very polished.  Only analysis and insights should be presented.Value of Data

Lack of data requires consultant creativity. Sometimes, consultants have to uncover, create, cleanse, triangulate or even create data to answer key questions.  Creativity is needed here.  It is also a great way to “wow” the client.

Creating data is not sketchy or unethical. Some of consulting tools used to find new data include: surveys, interviews, focus groups, workshops, financial comparisons, observations, estimates, simulations, business models, benchmarks, maturity models, and others.  More on surveys in the next post.

Please feel free to add any data war stories you might have. 

SIPOC: Consulting framework to untangle problems

SIPOC is an ugly sounding acronym, but it is a useful way to think through problems.  Clients often present consultants with complex processes that seemingly don’t have a start or a finish. They go on-and-on.  They are inter-related processes and it feels like an ugly excel formula full of nested if / then statements.  The more you dig, the more you uncover.

SIPOC - Initially looks like this

Structured thinking.  Sometimes, the best thing is to stop digging.  Take a step back and think through the problem.  Untangle the problem in a more structured way.  Figure out what sits outside the process.  What is the client really asking for?  What comes before the process (#1) and what comes after the process (#3).

SIPOC - Whats outside the process

Supplier, Input, Process, Output, Customer (SIPOC): Building on that example, a SIPOC diagram can be drawn out from left-to-right; suppliers provide inputs to a process, which in turn, provides outputs to customers.  It is a simple daisy-chain of activities and the real scope of the project is the area shown in red.  The process in the middle is what you are after.  The stuff on the left (suppliers, inputs) and the right (outputs, customers) are not really under your control, or potentially out of scope.  Focus on the red part.

SIPOCSIPOC applies to any process where there are suppliers and customers:
  • Business-to-consumer (B2C): Cleaning products
  • Business-to-business (B2B): Apple Airbook
  • Internal product design: Airbus engines
  • Sales support: Allstate insurance policies

#1.  Use SIPOC to control scope.  Clients often ask for additional work or small favors, under the same contracted fee.  The consultant might say yes a few times, but eventually there is a danger that the consultant is over-promising.  SIPOC is one of the tools to guard against scope creep and better define scope of the process improvement project.

#2. Use SIPOC to rule out hypotheses.  In the example above, If SC Johnson was having process issues, one hypothesis might be related to their supplier’s chemicals.

  • If the chemicals are the problem, you are well on your way to solving the problem
  • If the chemicals are not the problem, you strike it off the list of hypotheses, and move on to other potential hypotheses “suspects”

SIPOC - Rule out Hypotheses

Process improvement projects are common.  There is a bit of a myth that management consultants spend a lot of their time on strategy and marketing projects.  In reality, a lot of project work is very operationally-focused.  As you can imagine,  Fortune 1000 companies have lots of processes (across geography, across business units, across functions) that are generally going haywire and need re-wiring.  Also, ops projects tend to have a more measurable return on investment (ROI) and lower risk of implementation.

Even the big 3 strategy firms do plenty of process-improvement projects.  A few case studies where I am sure the teams benefited from some type of SIPOC analysis.

Infographics: Telling Stories with Data

Visual.ly is a website that showcases thousands of infographics where data is displayed in unique and fun ways.  For consultants who are in the business of telling stories with data, it is worth a few minutes of your time.

Visual.ly - ScreenshotConsulting presentations are simpler.  90%+ of presentations will be on PowerPoint and only use simple graphs with very straight-forward messages.  It’s a good thing because executives look for compelling recommendations, not cutesy graphics.

Infographics - Simple graphs in Powerpoint

As I noted in another post, McKinsey & Company printed their client presentations in black and white prior to 2009.  For them, the strength was in the analysis and clarity of argument.  If “simple” is good enough for McKinsey, it is good enough for you and me.

So why bother? A cynic might ask, “So why should a consultant even bother looking at infographics, if they are not the type of graphics we use with clients?”

Answer: It’s good for you.  It’s easy for us to get set in your ways.  We need to feed our minds new ideas and new ways to improve our craft.  It’s instructive to see how professional graphic designers represent data – even if you apply it later in a more toned-down or straight-laced way.

1. Learn to build an argument.   In Osama vs. Air Travel: The Post 9-11 Effect on Travel, see how the designer combined data to show the impact of 9/11 on US travel patterns.

Infographics - Airline Bankruptcies

2. See how others analyze data.  You can take the most mundane data and do amazing things with it.  Look at this analysis of the Songs that Metallica Played on Stage during 1982-2012.  It’s amazing to see how many ways they sliced the 30 years of data.

Infographics - Metallica Songs Play on Stage

3. See good (yet crass) examples of consulting tools.  Many of the infographics use classic consulting tools like fishbone diagrams, venn diagrams, pie charts, waterfalls.  See this Taxonomy of Sh*t which is just an affinity diagram.    Albeit, a vulgar one.

Infographics - Taxonomy of Sht4. Learn from bad examples.  There are examples where the designers goes overboard and makes the data confusing.  In Texting While Driving, you can see a muti-layered pie chart that takes about 30 seconds to fully decipher.   Do not do this.

The main point is simple – that young people text while driving – but the graphic is unnecessarily ornate and confusing.   Also, it is bad graphics hygiene because the age groups are unequal: 16-19 (4 yrs), 20-24 (4 yrs), 25-34 (10 yrs), 35-44 (10 yrs)?

Infographics - Texting While Driving

5. Enjoy the creativity.  Live a little and enjoy the creativity.  Face it, data analysis, pivot tables, MiniTab, and Powerpoint can get boring.   Check out the How Much You Can Trust a Bearded Man? and see if you agree with their analysis.

Infographics - Trustworthiness of Beards

Another savant analyzed the color palette of 10 artists over the same 10 year period.   I swear, there are some creative people out there.  More right-brained than I am.

Visual.ly - 10 artists over 10 years

Let me know when you find great infographics, I will add it below.

Gift Cards: $110 billion sold in the US in 2012

Best Buy gift card Gift cards are everywhere.  ABC News recently said that gift cards are the #1 requested holiday gift items for 6 years in a row.  This year, I gave out 2 gift cards ; they are sold in grocery stores, easy to buy, more thoughtful than cash, and definitely useful.  No one complained.

$110 billion of gift cards.  I knew gift cards were ubiquitous, but I had no idea what a big business they were. The Corporate Executive Board notes that it will be $110 billion in sales in 2012, with more than 276 million people exchanging gift cards in the US here.  My math is not great, but that is basically 80%+ of all Americans either buying or giving a card.

Gift Card Market SizeGifting is an imperfect science.  I enjoy giving and receiving gifts.  Don’t get me wrong,  Christmas morning is awesome.  And yet, we should all agree that it’s hard to give good  gifts.  A lot of the time we don’t know what someone wants, and on the other side of the transaction, a lot of the time we get things we don’t want.

Economists are anti-gifting.  In general, they argue that gifting wastes time.  The buyer spends time driving around, guessing what people want, comparing prices, choosing color and styles, standing in line, and wrapping gifts.  What’s worse, the receiver may not use the gift, or waste even more time returning it for something else.  Some funny podcasts on the topic of “Grinch-like” economists here:

Flexibility of Gift CardsGift cards are flexible.  Economists probably approve of gift cards because they offer more choices than a physical gift.  Less transaction costs.  Open gift cards (American Express, Visa, Discover) are just like cash and merchant cards like Costco or Wal-Mart give you tons on choices.

In the past, if you didn’t like the gift card, you had to re-gift it to someone else, or sell it on eBay.

Secondary market in gift cards.  Now there are other choices.  A few websites have sprouted up over the last few years which allow you to buy and sell your gift cards at a discount.  They are like “market makers” in securities who buy / sell stock. They hold the stock for a short amount of time, and also make money on the “spread” between the buying and the selling price.  You see this at the foreign exchange counters at airports.

Simple process = market maker makes the money. The terms may vary (e.g., some provide refunds, some do not), but the process is the same.

  1. People sell their gift cards at a big discount from face value
  2. The market maker buys up inventory, marks up the gift card, and keeps the “spread”
  3. The buyer buys the used gift card a little discount from face value

Market Maker Process - Gift Card

There are good margins.  Looking at Plastic Jungle (12/29), they were buying J Crew gift cards at a 21% discount and then re-selling them at a 10% discount to face value.  They are pocketing a 11% spread in the middle.  Not too shabby.

Gift Card Market Maker

Discounts vary by retailer.  The discounts vary considerably by retailer.  Specialty retailers tend to have a smaller inventory of gift cards and deeper discounts (e.g., Surf Wear PAC SUN shows a 25% discount).  Super popular retailers (e.g., Wal-Mart, Apple) have discounts of less than 3%.  See a sample of discounts offered.

Cardpool discounts - Gift Cards

Great way to save.  Not everyone is into Groupon, Living Social and other forms of coupons.  However, for those who have a large purchase planned in the next few months, it might be worth looking into.  A 7% discount on a Home Depot gift card for a $2,000 kitchen renovation will add up quickly.   It’s also a good way to monetize any useless gift cards roaming around your house.

Don’t let gift cards go to waste.  At the very least, don’t be one of the many people who either lose their gift cards or do not spend the remaining value.  The retail industry calls it “spillage” and it is expected to be $1.7 billion this year here.  To me, that sounds like $1.7 billion in sales that have almost no costs.  To me, that sounds like retailer profit.

Post-script: The Federal Trade Commission gives some advice on gift cards here.

Misleading Graph #1: Starbucks Investor Presentation

Charts can mislead.  In most cases, it’s accidental.  Perhaps someone was over-eager to show good results, or maybe, just did a sloppy job of formatting.  Whatever the cause, it’s bad mojo to put together analyses or charts that mislead.  Here are some bad examples  from Starbucks’ recently investor conference.  You can see all the slides here:

#1.  No axis label.  This is no-no.  A chart without a labeled X&Y axis is like a car without an odometer.  Not a good idea.

Bad graph - no axis

#2. Not drawn to scale.  Below, you can see that Starbucks is comparing its revenue with operating income.   Since the scale is different, the operating income actually looks bigger than revenue.  That ain’t right.

Bad graph - Not drawn to scale3. False or unnecessary comparisons.  Same problem below.  The coffee executives compare US & Canada & Latin America but use different – seemingly random – scales.

The 2012 revenues are shown with red dotted lines.  When you line them up, they look similar in size – when in reality – it should look like the graph at the bottom right.  The US is where the current revenues come from and Latin America is a rounding error.

Bad graph - inaccurate comparisons

Why make the comparison?  There was no reason to compare the US, Canada and Latin America.  They are at different stages of their growth.  Why force the comparison?

Comparing the US and Canada makes sense.  They are both mature markets with similar GDP per headcount and analogous cultures.  Taking the population for the US and Canada here, you can see that the average American and Canadian spends about the same on Starbucks annually.

Starbucks per AmericanAnalyze Latin America by itself or against other emerging markets.  Looking at Latin America over the last 3 years, looks like they went from $76M to $115M to $143M.  Nothing shabby about that.  Why not focus on that story separately.

Clarity is your job.  At the core, a consultant’s job is to drive clarity – through the data, analysis, and presentation.  Anything you do to over-simplify, obfuscate, or muddle the issue is bad.  The client can be confused by themselves – without paying your fees.

Bain & Co: Management tool and trends 2011 survey

Bain & Co conducts a survey every few years on how executives use management tools.  Unsurprisingly, these are the exact tools that management consultants often use when coaching, prodding, and helping executive think about their business.  If you want to learn more about any of the following 25 management tools, please download the Bain & Co Management Tools and Trends 2011  (67 pages).  Good references.

  • Balanced scorecard
  • Benchmarking
  • Business process re-engineering
  • Change management programs
  • Core competencies
  • Customer relationship management
  • Customer segmentation
  • Decision rights tools
  • Downsizing
  • Enterprise risk management
  • Knowledge management
  • Mergers and acquisitions
  • Mission and vision statements
  • Open innovation
  • Outsourcing
  • Price optimization models
  • Rapid prototyping
  • Satisfaction and loyalty management
  • Scenario and contingency planning
  • Shared service centers
  • Social media programs
  • Strategic alliances
  • Strategic planning
  • Supply chain management
  • Total quality management

Looking at this expansive list, I know that large Fortune 100 companies use all of these management tools.  How could P&G not use supply chain management or pricing optimization?  To me, it is more of a barometer of management trends, fads and perceptions.  Nonetheless, it is useful to read and instructive.  And free.

It is written by Darrell Rigby, a long-time partner at Bain & Co.  He authored a recent book (have not read yet) called Winning in Turbulent Times.  Good interview with him on Harvard Business Review Podcast here.

There is also a 16 page executive brief here.    Some of the takeaways:

  • 89% said that “culture is as important as strategy
  • 81% said “ability to change” is a competitive advantage
  • 68% said “taking care of customers and employees” should come before shareholders

Bain SurveyFrom the 1,100 executives who responded to the 2011 survey, revenue growth was the #1 priority, followed by customer satisfaction / loyalty.

Bain Survey executive prioritiesLook at the graphic below.  Bain uses a 2×2 matrix to compare the usage of a tool with overall satisfaction .  In the top right box, you can find that strategic planning was commonly used and considered useful.  In contrast, benchmarking was used as often, but not as satisfactory.

Bain MatrixRelated posts:

What is Reddit?

Consultants need to keep up with technology to stay relevant.  Once you start to fear technology, you are getting old.  So, this is how I finally started using Reddit.

What is Reddit?

Reddit is a funny place.  For those who don’t know, it is simply a set of forums where you can post links and comments.  Reddit lets you vote things up/down so you can see what people find interesting.  It calls itself the “front page of the internet”.

My brother-in-law has been urging me to look at Reddit for years.  I logged in for the first time 3 months ago – about the same time I started this blog.  Well, now I am hooked.  The things you find here are funny, stupid, useful, good karma, and also real-time.

Funny Stuff: The majority of the stuff is college frat humor.  Some of the tamer things . . .

  • News anchor criticizing schools as being TWO easy for kids here
  • Video of Mr. Bean and his hug-defense here
  • Overprotective father blocking out the speedometer here
  • No one uses Bing here

Reddit Typo on TVReddit Mr. Bean

Reddit Speedometer

Reddit No one uses BingGood Karma: Not sure where this comes from, but there is a sense of community.  People doing good things and passing it forward. Lots of fund-raising happens on Reddit.

  • Story about a nephew who asks the community to mail letters to his uncle who is dying.  More than 1,000+ people respond with letters, drawings, music, and even money.  Pretty amazing.  See photos here.

Reddit StorySmall World, Big Reddit: Amazing how people find connections with each other on Reddit.  There are 60,000 smaller forums called “subreddit”, which does differentiate it from Digg – a similar website that has been flaming out.

  • Someone posts photos of his brother, who since passed away in Afghanistan.  Reader replies that he knew the brother and shares stories and photos here. 
  • Reddit ranked as the #127 most visited website (www.alexa.com) as of 07/20/12

Real-time news: It is amazing how many people use Reddit in real time.

  • After the tragic murders at the movie theater in Colorado, there were real time Reddit updates on the situation from people who had been there.  News here.

Good stories: Consultants are in the story telling business.  There are good stories here.

  • Ritz Carlton gets a call from guest who has already checked out.  Their daughter left a stuffed animal, and the father placates the young girl, saying that the stuffed animal is on an extended vacation.  The Ritz sends the stuffed animal back with photos of it vacationing – sun bathing, getting massages, helping out the security staff here

Reddit Ritz Carlton StoryReddit Ritz Carlton Story Reddit Ritz Carlton Story

 

 

 


Talented People:
There are some amazing people out there.  Look at this cake that someone made because their boyfriend liked Van Gogh here.  Amazing.  Mad Skills

Van Gogh Cake

Source: Reddit community, all links provided

5 super useful websites: free PC-to-Fax, free PDF editor, free icon finder, Kleki.com, and Wordle.net

Recently came across a list called 101 Most Useful Websites curated by Amit Argarwal, a columnist with the Wall Street Journal India.  Useful, free and refreshing websites.

1) FaxZero.com: This a free PC-to-Fax machine service.  No registration and it takes only 60 seconds to upload a document, type in the recipient’s fax number and send.  I used this yesterday to fax from the comfort of my desk chair.

Free Fax from PC

2) www.PDFEscape.com: This is a free online PDF editor that lets you do all those things your freebie-cheapie version of Acrobat reader does not.  Create pdf, edit, create form fields, add sticky notes, and highlight.  (Some of the features shown below)

Free PDF editor onlineFree PDF editor features3) www.IconFinder.com: This is an excellent search tool for icons, but I have two small caveats: 1) Double check to make sure the license is “creative commons”, so you can use it 2) Resist the temptation to load your presentation with lots icons.  Be sparing.  Putting lots of icons and meaningless photos in the PPT makes it look like a high-school science project.  Rely on your analysis and insights, not icons.

Icon Finder

4) Kleki.com: This is an online drawing tool that is both simple and fun.  No download needed.  As the website creator explained,”I like to paint and code, that’s basically why I’m creating this tool.”  Lots of talented and generous people out there.

Kleki Drawing Online

5) www.Wordle.net: This website lets you create a word cloud in about 20 seconds.  No download needed.  Simply copy/paste your text into the box, then change the colors, layout, font to your liking.  Doubt you will use this in a client presentation, but it is good fun.  See this blog’s word cloud below.  As consultants, need to always eat our own dog food.

Word Cloud

Data Analysis: the meaning behind the US state names

Happy Birthday!  The United States is celebrating its 236th birthday today.

I saw an article from Mental Floss Magazine by Matt Soniak called How All 50 States Got Their Names.  It was well-timed for July 4th, but a bit long at 5,000 words.  After reading through the alphabetical list A, B, C , I started getting frustrated by all the words.

Call me lazy, but I wanted to see the big picture.  Understand the narrative.  Dig out the insights.  So, I did what all consultants do when confronted with data. . .

1) Think about the logical groupings

  • I noticed that the state names really boiled down to either a) Native American Indian words or b) European (read: Spanish, French, English) words

2) Put the data into excel for analysis

  • I started the un-fun task of reading the words, and boiling it down into its parts
  • Here are the first 10 states (A-G) with the name origin and meaning

State Names and Meaning A-G

3) Look for anything interesting: trends, outliers, common threads

  • Consultants love maps.  I am no exception.  Tableau is my favorite for visually mapping data, but I found a free alternative at www.diymaps.net
  • 60% of states have names with Native American Indian word origins.  All 28 states shown below in blue trace their names back this way

States with Native American Indian Names4) Make it graphical if it helps to convey the point

  • I ran the map again for the states which names that have multiple name origins
  • Surprisingly, eleven states (shown in green below) have unknown name origins or multiple conflicting stories.  For example, New Mexico obviously comes from “Mexico”, but even that name has an unclear origin as described here.

States with Unclear Names

For those in the US . . . Do you know the meaning of your state’s name?  I didn’t

  • Here are the other 40 states, letter H – W.  This is good Jeopardy stuff
  • If there are “quote”, it is a Proper noun.  For example, Louisiana was named after King Louis.  Also, Virginia was named after Queen Elizabeth I (the “Virgin Queen”)
  • Some names have both Native American Indian & European origins; for example, Illinois and Michigan were Native American Indian words that were anglicized

State Names and Meaning H-W